﻿{"id":141689,"date":"2023-03-13T15:29:38","date_gmt":"2023-03-13T14:29:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/?post_type=events&#038;p=141689"},"modified":"2023-03-13T15:29:38","modified_gmt":"2023-03-13T14:29:38","slug":"research-seminar-irisk-baillon","status":"publish","type":"events","link":"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/en\/events\/research-seminar-irisk-baillon\/","title":{"rendered":"[Research Seminar] IRISK: &#8220;Follow the money, not the majority: Incentivizing and aggregating expert opinions with bayesian markets&#8221; A. BAILLON \u2013 EM Lyon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-133330\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"880\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche.jpg 880w, https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche-300x85.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche-768x218.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche-150x43.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche-400x114.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 880px) 100vw, 880px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Speaker: Aur\u00e9lien BAILLON<br \/>\n<\/strong><i>EM Lyon<\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Date and Location &#8211; Thursday March 23rd 2023 from 14:00 to 15:0<\/strong><strong>0<br \/>\nin Lille campus (R217) and on Zoom<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: left;\">ABSTRACT<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-133371 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/RS-IRISK.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"313\" height=\"313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/RS-IRISK.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/RS-IRISK-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/RS-IRISK-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 313px) 100vw, 313px\" \/>For some questions, such as what the best policy to address a problem is, it is uncertain if the answer will ever be known. Asking experts yields two practical problems: how can their truth-telling be incentivized if the correct answer is unknowable? And if experts disagree, who should be trusted? This paper solves both problems simultaneously. Experts decide whether to endorse a statement and trade an asset whose value depends on the endorsement rate. The respective payoffs of buyers and sellers indicate whom to trust. We demonstrate theoretically and illustrate empirically that \u201cfollowing the money&#8221; outperforms selecting the majority opinion.<\/p>\n<div data-tid=\"messageBodyContent\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\" data-tid=\"messageBodyContent\"><a class=\"btn-transparent\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Abstract-Aurelien-Baillon.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>More<\/strong> Info<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Speaker: Aur\u00e9lien BAILLON EM Lyon Date and Location &#8211; Thursday March 23rd 2023 from 14:00 to 15:00 in Lille campus (R217) and on Zoom &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211; ABSTRACT For some questions, such [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","events-category":[66,166],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>[Research Seminar] IRISK: &quot;Follow the money, not the majority: Incentivizing and aggregating expert opinions with bayesian markets&quot; A. BAILLON \u2013 EM Lyon - I\u00c9SEG<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Speaker: Aur\u00e9lien BAILLON EM Lyon Date and Location - Thursday March 23rd 2023 from 14:00 to 15:00 in Lille campus (R217) and on Zoom\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/en\/events\/research-seminar-irisk-baillon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"[Research Seminar] IRISK: &quot;Follow the money, not the majority: Incentivizing and aggregating expert opinions with bayesian markets&quot; A. BAILLON \u2013 EM Lyon - I\u00c9SEG\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Speaker: Aur\u00e9lien BAILLON EM Lyon Date and Location - Thursday March 23rd 2023 from 14:00 to 15:00 in Lille campus (R217) and on Zoom\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/en\/events\/research-seminar-irisk-baillon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"I\u00c9SEG\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/IESEG-School-of-Management\/358733860458?fref=ts\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Cl\u00e9ment CREMER\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@IESEG\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Ieseg\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/edu\/school?id=12453\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/user\/IESEGChannel\",\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/IESEG-School-of-Management\/358733860458?fref=ts\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IESEG\"],\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/IESEG-Logo-2012-rgb.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/IESEG-Logo-2012-rgb.jpg\",\"width\":\"1000\",\"height\":\"311\",\"caption\":\"Ieseg\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/\",\"name\":\"I\u00c9SEG\",\"description\":\"School of Management\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/en\/events\/research-seminar-irisk-baillon\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Bandeaux-events-seminaire-recherche.jpg\",\"width\":880,\"height\":250},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/en\/events\/research-seminar-irisk-baillon\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ieseg.fr\/en\/events\/research-seminar-irisk-baillon\/\",\"name\":\"[Research Seminar] IRISK: \\\"Follow the money, not the majority: Incentivizing and aggregating expert opinions with bayesian markets\\\" A. 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